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January 25th, 2011, 12:03 AM
#19
Inactive Member
Re: Early week snowstorm potential
This is one complicated and interesting storm with a decent mix of differing forecasts. NWS in Morristown saying they're not confident enough to put up watches yet and only believe the highest elevations may reach warning criteria...in the statement they give totals from a general 2-5 with up to 6 possible in the higher elevations. Now just go to our west just a little to the Jackson NWS and they are going with a general 4-10 inch range and have posted Winter Storm Watches out for all of eastern KY. The Weather Channel keeps trying to pain the heaviest axis over this area too. And Chris' thinking is the areas in the highest risk category he has (which includes this area) are likely to see over 6 inches. Not sure what WJHL is going with but WCYB says 1/2 inch to 3 possible in the lower elevations and 2-6 in the higher with some locally heavier amounts mainly across the highest terrain. So, still some uncertainty. And this is all the current thinking, most likely to change, and wouldn't be surprised to see some of these expected totals to go up. It looks like though that rain could cut into the totals overall. If this storm does nudge west and strengthens more when it turns up, heavier rain and the intensifying low could help with dynamic cooling and a rapid changeover to the heavy wet snow. NWS and others right now thinking rain begins to mix with and change to snow at the higher elevations Tuesday night into Wednesday morning and then late Wednesday morning in the lower elevations as the storm begins to intensify on Wednesday.
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